Bengals acquire safety Nelson from Jaguars
Football Betting Lines
09/04/2010 - Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - On NFL cut-down day, the Cincinnati Bengals made a move to bolster their defensive backfield by acquiring safety Reggie Nelson from Jacksonville.
The Bengals sent cornerback David Jones to the Jaguars in exchange for Nelson, who was Jacksonville's first-round draft pick in 2007. Over 45 games (42 starts), Nelson has seven interceptions.
Jones has started seven of the 33 games he's played with the Bengals over the last three years.
The trade is contingent on both players passing physicals with their new clubs.
Green Bay, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tight end Spencer Havner was among the players released by the Green Bay Packers on Saturday, as the team reduced its roster to the 53-player maximum. Havner, who appeared in every game for Green Bay last yea
<< WR Hardy among Bills' cuts
Orchard Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former second-round pick James Hardy was
among the players released by the Buffalo Bills on Saturday, as the team
reduced its roster to the 53-player maximum.
Hardy, the No. 41 overall pick out of Indiana
<< Rockies send flailing Padres to ninth straight loss
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Todd Helton and Carlos Gonzalez both knocked
in two runs to help the Colorado Rockies send the spiraling San Diego Padres
to a ninth straight loss with a 6-2 win at PETCO Park.
Troy Tulowitzki had two hits
<< Dolphins release QB White, TE Martin on cut day
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Quarterback Pat White and tight end David Martin
were among the prominent players released by the Miami Dolphins on Saturday, as
the team pared its roster to the 53-player minimum.
White was selected in the secon
<< Titans include Simms, Gado, Rolle in roster cuts
Nashville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tennessee Titans narrowed their roster to
the NFL maximum of 53 players on Saturday, releasing 20 as part of their "cut-
down day" maneuvers.
Released were defensive end Eric Bakhtiari, defensive end Rahe
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Thrashers appear to have signed veteran forward Fredrik Modin. TSN of Canada on Saturday quoted the Swedish paper Aftonbladet as saying it's a one-year deal, but no terms of the deal were discl
Bears Release 21, including two '09 third-rounders >>
Lake Forest, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wide receiver Juaquin Iglesias and
defensive lineman Jarron Gilbert, a pair of third-round draft choices of the
Chicago Bears in 2009, were released by the team as part of their Saturday
"cut-down day" maneuve
Seahawks cut Houshmandzadeh, 20 more >>
Renton, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Veteran wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh was
given the boot by the Seattle Seahawks on Saturday after spending just one
season with the team.
The release of Houshmandzadeh came amid several moves by the Seahawk
Jaguars get to 53; Williamson and Alexander among cuts >>
Jacksonville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wide receiver Troy Williamson and safety
Gerald Alexander were among the notable players cut by the Jacksonville Jaguars
on Saturday, as the team reduced its roster to 53 players.
Williamson, the No. 7 ove
McMurray holds off Busch for Atlanta Nationwide win >>
Hampton, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jamie McMurray won his first Nationwide Series
race in nearly six years by taking Saturday's Great Clips 300 at Atlanta Motor
Speedway.
McMurray, who won the Daytona 500 and the Brickyard 400 in the Sprint Cup
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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